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63 About this deal
This should be mandatory reading for young people learning about the world. Is not about which country is called what and the capital named after whom. It's about the the consequence of the resources. The fact that Ethiopia has the Nile's source and Egypt depend heavily on it, so how this molds their relationship. Also, colonialism may be outdated but its consequences are everywhere if you look close enough.
That may sound obvious, perhaps trite, but a government or a leader forgets it at their peril. They must understand exactly where they are and how much fuel they have in the tank – Napoleon was not the first or last to forget that lesson and he was taught a harsh one in the Russian winter of 1812. An example in the book is Saudi Arabia. The tribal character of the country was forged in the heat of its deserts, and its place in the world is founded on its key resource underneath the sand. But when the oil was found the population was about 2 million. Now it is 34 million. If the world weans itself off oil, what sustains 34 million people in a country with limited agricultural land? The decisions the House of Saud is now making to diversify its economy are based on geography. Since the end of the Second World War, putting geography front and centre in international relations has been regarded with suspicion due to its alleged ‘determinism’, and has been eclipsed by hard economics and technology. The high priests of foreign policy, more in academia than in government, came to see it as poor thinking akin to fatalism. That, however, is in itself poor thinking and flies in the face of common sense. Russia’s President Putin did not take a keen interest in the 2020 election in Belarus due to its potential consumer market for Russian goods or as an emerging high-tech nation. Covering China; the USA; the UK; Europe; the Middle East; Israel; Africa; and the Indian subcontinent, Divided is a gripping investigation of the faultlines that will shape our world for years to come. We feel more divided than ever; this riveting popular analysis tells you why. p. 210 - "The wider argument is that a US withdrawal will leave China to dominate the region, and also that America needs to be seen to be supporting European allies, especially as massive population movements into Europe would destabilize them."The optimist in me would say that Marshall didn't have good advice from his editors or he committed way too early to a format that he just couldn't see is broken. He spent much of the 1999 Kosovo crisis in Belgrade, where he was one of the few western journalists that stayed on to report from one of the main targets of NATO bombing raids. He was also in Kosovo to greet the NATO troops the day that they advanced into Pristina. The cynic in me wants to say that Marshall wanted to cash in on the success of his first outing. He had some leftover chapters that didn't make the cut because the content wasn't enough. So he padded it out with a lot of history to bash out another book.
Marshall considers that immigration from the Sahel to Europe will continue, that wars may break out in Ethiopia's neighbours due to their reliance on the country's water, that oil is running out in Saudi Arabia and that Britain is seeking new alliances post- Brexit. [3] He analyses Australia's role as a U.S. ally and its relations with its Pacific neighbours, including China. [4] In his view, Iran faces the choice between social liberalisation, or revolt from its young population. [2] He predicts an arms race between the US, Russia and China to be the dominant power in outer space, similar to the Cold War nuclear arms race. [4] [3] Reception [ edit ] He released an illustrated children’s version called “Prisoners of Geography: Our World Explained in 12 Simple Maps”, which was nominated for Waterstones Book of the Year. His blog, ‘Foreign Matters’, was shortlisted for the Orwell Prize in 2010. For his Iraq War coverage, he was a finalist for the Royal Television Society’s News Event category. He earned finalist certificates for a report on the Mujahideen, in 2007, and in 2004 for “The Desert Kingdom”, his documentary, which featured exclusive access to Crown Prince Abdullah and all of his palaces. Marshall is a journalist for the BBC and Sky News. [1] In the book, he focuses on ten areas that he considers to be potential hotspots in the future due to their geography, for reasons including climate change, ethnic strife and competition for resources. The areas in focus are Australia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, Greece and Turkey, the Sahel (the transition zone on the edge of the Sahara desert), Ethiopia, Spain and outer space. [2]Space - the Artemis Accords (not signed by China and Russia). Control of Earth space where satellites live/work/spy on other countries and debris of decades is even more of a threat. Discussing agreements regarding settlements on the moon and who gets mining rights and how far would boundaries be. Iran - a theocracy which is stumbling along but managing to survive with the Revolutionary Guard's assistance against the dissidents along with watching the nearby countries and the Islam extremists organizations.
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